What's Going to Win Best Picture? We Rank the Oscar Field

4. "Conclave"

Here we have our Everyone Likes It contender. Berger's papal thriller, starring Ralph Fiennes as a cardinal tasked with leading a conclave, feels like the most universally respected nominee. In a year where votes are spread across a lot of films, that might be a quality that – particularly considering the academy's preferential ballot – leaves "Conclave" driving the Oscar home in a popemobile. What's the main knock against this happening, aside from the potential difficulty of renting a popemobile? Berger was passed over on a directing nomination, and "Conclave" hasn't yet won a major award. More than any other movie, it needs a victory at the BAFTAs.